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sik_lam

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This article examines how the dynamics of transition are determined by three factors: determinacy, choice, and stability. Dankwart Rustow, Scott Flanagan, and Guillermo O'Donnell argue that determinacy (the absence of change), choice (the distribution of power), and stability (the duration of a regime) are all important factors in determining the dynamics of transition.

With references to Gabriel Almond, "Determinacy-Choice, Stability-Change: Some Thoughts on a Contemporary Polemic in Political Theory," Government and Opposition V (Winter 1969-70), pp.22-40,Dankwart Rustow, “Transitions to Democracy: Towards a Dynamic Model,” Comparative Politics (April 1970), pp.337-363,Scott Flanagan, “Models and Methods of Analysis,” in Gabriel Almond, Scott Flanagan, and Robert Mundt eds., Crisis, Choice and Change: Historical Studies of Political Development (Boston: Little, Brown and Company, 1973), pp.43-76,Guillermo O’Donnell and Philippe Schmitter, Transitions from Authoritarian Rule: Tentative Conclusions about Uncertain Democracies (Baltimore and London: The Johns Hopkins University Press, 1986), pp.15-72 and Samuel Huntington and Joan Nelson, No Easy Choice: Political Participation in Developing Countries (Cambridge and London: Harvard University Press, 1976), pp.19-41, Do you believe that structural factors are always dominant in determining transition to democracy (or away from authoritarianism)? To what extent can human agency contribute to democratization for (a) an opposition activist; (b) a member of the elite ruling group (not the supreme leader)?

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An opposition activist in a transition to democracy. A member of the elite ruling group in a transition to democracy.

Do you believe that structural factors are always dominant in determining transition to democracy (or away from authoritarianism)? To what extent can human agency contribute to democratization for (a) an opposition activist; (b) a member of the elite ruling group (not the supreme leader)?

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